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Class of 2026 Enters a Job Market With Fewer Guarantees

Graduates entering work in the age of AI and weak hiring are learning an old lesson from the class of 1991: the first job rarely defines the whole career.


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Тетяна Федорів
Вікторія Бур
Дмитро Швецов
Білова Вікторія
Тетяна Федорів; Вікторія Бур; Дмитро Швецов; Білова Вікторія
Газета Дейком | 21.05.2026, 18:05 GMT+3; 11:05 GMT-4
Мова публікації: English

For the class of 2026, a diploma no longer feels like a clear passage into stable adult life. Graduates are leaving college at a moment when companies are hiring cautiously, entry-level roles are thinner, and artificial intelligence is changing the very meaning of a first professional step.

This generation is not short on ambition. Many graduates have portfolios, internships, digital skills, leadership experience and a willingness to work. Yet they increasingly meet silence from employers: applications disappear, interviews stall, and a single listing can draw hundreds or even thousands of candidates.

There is an uneasy historical echo in this moment. In the spring of 1991, American graduates also entered a labor market that seemed to have closed its doors. A recession, higher oil prices after the Gulf War and broad job losses made the beginning of adult life feel unstable and unrewarding.

According to Daycom’s earlier analysis, the strongest parallel between 1991 and 2026 is not in the exact unemployment numbers, but in the psychology of entering adulthood. Both generations met a point where the promise of college no longer matched the economy waiting outside. The difference is that today’s shock is intensified by AI.

For Julia Bognar, a young graphic designer, that pressure is concrete. She graduated from Arizona State University, led the women’s rugby team, planned a life in Phoenix and expected to find work in design. Instead, even modest job openings brought rejection or no answer at all.

Her anxiety is not abstract. Graphic design is among the fields already being reshaped by generative AI. Companies are testing automated tools, trimming budgets for junior roles and looking for workers who can produce more for less.

Julia does not believe algorithms can fully replace designers. Human work still carries taste, context, intuition and the ability to understand not only an image, but its meaning. Yet that argument offers limited protection at the start of a career, when employers are often comparing costs before potential.

Her mother, Jennifer Bognar, knows the shock of a bad start. In 1991, she graduated from Rutgers University with degrees in political science and history, traveled to Washington, knocked on doors at government offices and struggled to find a position. The job she wanted did not become her first step.

Eventually, she found work at a Social Security Administration office, later studied arts administration and built a career in fund-raising at Rutgers. Her advice to her daughter is not a motivational slogan. It is the lesson of someone who survived a difficult beginning: take what is available now, and do not mistake the first job for your final life.

Another story belongs to Sharon Dilling. In 1991, she had switched from theater to journalism because newspapers seemed like a safer path. That confidence did not last. Newsrooms were cutting staff, openings were disappearing, and young applicants searched paper listings and mailed printed résumés.

After repeated failures, she accepted a secretarial job at Rutgers. It was not what she had imagined. But that modest entry point led her into communications, public affairs, health care institutions and eventually to a senior role at a global pharmaceutical company.

Now her son, Dan Dilling, is facing his own version of the same experience. He graduated with a degree in industrial organizational psychology, completed an internship and still could not find full-time work. For now, he works in the tools department at Home Depot and is preparing for a master’s program in analytics.

That is not failure, though the market can make young people feel that way. For the class of 2026, temporary work, additional training, internships or a change in direction are not necessarily signs of defeat. They can be ways to remain in motion. In a weak hiring market, standing still may be more dangerous than taking a detour.

The clearest example is Glen Lockwood. In 1991, he graduated from Princeton University and expected a conventional path through banking or consulting. The recession disrupted that plan. Instead of beginning the corporate career he had imagined, he went to France and later accepted a strange offer involving woolly mammoth ivory in Siberia.

The venture failed, but it opened another life. Lockwood went on to work in tourism in Russia, military contracting in Central Asia and Afghanistan, energy and humanitarian projects, and later in Zambia, Mozambique, Ukraine and Moldova. His career became possible precisely because the first “right” path closed.

His daughter, Anita, is now studying in Australia and hopes to work in humanitarian aid. But funding cuts, competition and the difficulty of finding work as a foreigner have forced her to consider a second degree in nursing. Even a pub job near campus can attract more than a thousand applications.

These stories do not soften the economics. Research on labor markets has long shown that graduating into a bad hiring cycle can affect wages, employment and professional confidence for years. A difficult start has a real cost. But it does not always determine the whole route.

Today’s labor market is more complicated than the market of 1991. Then, graduates were fighting a recession, paper résumés and a shortage of openings. Now they face automation, algorithmic screening, global competition and the paradoxical demand for experience before the first job.

The lesson from the earlier generation is not to romanticize hardship. A bad start should not be decorated. It is draining, confidence-shaking and often unfair. But a compromise job can become a platform rather than a dead end if a young worker keeps moving.

For the class of 2026, that may be the most honest advice. Do not wait for the perfect entry point. Do not treat temporary work as a verdict. Do not let rejection define your value. And do not confuse a closed market today with a future that has not yet taken shape.

Careers increasingly begin without a straight line. They look more like a sequence of forced turns, short contracts, extra training, accidental meetings and decisions that first appear to be retreats. Sometimes those retreats become the ground on which a real professional life is built.

So the message to 2026 graduates cannot be easy optimism. The market is hard. AI is changing professions. Entry-level work is less accessible. But the experience of 1991 shows something equally important: the first “no” from an employer is not the final word on a career.


Тетяна Федорів — Кореспондент, яка спеціалізується на політиці, економіці та технологіях, проживає у Вашингтоні, США, та висвітлює міжнародні новини.

Вікторія Бур — Кореспондент, який спеціалізується на війні Росії проти України, європейській політиці, подіях на Близькому Сході, виробництві, військовій готовності та постачанні зброї на поле бою. Вона базується у Варшаві, Польща

Дмитро Швецов — Міжнародний кореспондент, який висвітлює війни, зокрема події в Україні, пише про бої на фронті, атаки на цивільні об'єкти та вплив війни на населення України. Він базуєтсья в Лондоні, Великобританія.

Білова Вікторія — Кореспондент, який спеціалізується на суспільно важливих темах, пише про українську та міжнародну політику, фінансові ринки та технології. Вона проживає та працює в Пекіні, Китай.

Цей матеріал опубліковано 21.05.2026 року о 18:05 GMT+3 Київ; 11:05 GMT-4 Вашингтон, розділ: Світові новини, Суспільство, Аналітика, Освіта, Штучний інтелект, із заголовком: "Class of 2026 Enters a Job Market With Fewer Guarantees". Якщо в публікації з'являться зміни, про це буде зазначено та описано у кінці публікації.

Читайте щоденну газету та загальну стрічку новин газети Дейком, яка поєднує багато цікавого в понад 40 розділах з усіх куточків світу.


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